Media
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Description
Live tweet counts, a shrunk projection, and per-bracket TPD / TTR / TTK math on Polymarket's Elon tweet markets. TweetPulse adds a live analytics sidebar to Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet-count markets. WHAT YOU SEE • Live tweet count and time remaining • A projected final count — not a naive run-rate • Rolling daily average • CPBS — the bracket the model projects the final count lands in, highlighted • Every bracket with the three numbers that actually matter: TPD — tweets per day needed to reach it TTR — tweets to reach it TTK — tweets until it dies • The bracket the count is sitting in right now, and how much headroom is left • Markets that have not opened yet, with a countdown to the open • Links to the other live Elon markets WHY THE PROJECTION IS DIFFERENT Most tools extrapolate the current pace: if he has tweeted 40 times in one day, they project 280 for the week. Early bursts make that wildly wrong — measured against completed markets, a naive run-rate is worse than using no in-market data at all for roughly the first third of a market. TweetPulse blends the in-market pace with his longer-run rate, weighting the live pace more heavily as the window closes. On historical markets that cut projection error by roughly a third in the early days. HINTS, NOT ADVICE Brackets the model considers very unlikely are marked CS (consider selling). In the final hours, brackets the model is confident in AND that are trading below that confidence are marked CB (consider buying). CPBS is a projection, not a prediction — it moves as he posts, and it is least reliable early in a market. CS and CB are model estimates. None of it is financial advice, and none of it has been validated against market outcomes. Trade at your own risk. PRIVACY Read-only. It reads the market identifier from the page URL and nothing else. No wallet access, no positions, no accounts, no tracking, no analytics, no cookies. One request to elontweetpulse.com for the market data. That's all. Full dashboard: https://elontweetpulse.com